Thursday, May 15, 2014

The Greatest Final Four Ever.

OK, so I missed another week and now I'm combining two weeks again. Forgive?

I was sad to see Tasha go. Tasha should have made it to the end. But we still have Spencer. Spence is a machine! How much did you love seeing him catch up to Tony last night in the immunity challenge? As long as he's up against Tony in a puzzle challenge, Spencer will always prevail. Tony himself admits he sucks at puzzles. Spencer does not suck.

But let's get down to it, shall we? 

Tony voted out Trish.

In case you missed it, the four surviving alliance members had to vote one of their own out because Spencer did not suck at puzzles.  Here's the thought process:

Tony: Go to the final with Kass & Trish. They're not well liked - especially Kass. They both suck at challenges - especially Trish. Cut Woo.  Tell Woo that he'll be in the final three with you.

Kass: Tell Woo Tony's plan. Make sure he doubts Tony.  Poke the bear. Make Tony crazy.

Trish: Yell at Kass. Tell her she is awful and hateful and annoying and that you cant' stand her.

Kass: Smirk at Trish 'cause you know she hates it.

Trish: Hate Kass more.

Tony: Kass, you're out. Forget it. I'm with Woo.

Woo: Wait a sec.... Tony promised me final three AND Kass AND Trish. Whoa! That's FOUR.

Spencer: Watch the madness unfold.  Separate Tony & Trish. 

We all know no one can touch Tony.  Tony smartly has kept his idols and is untouchable. So, you vote for Trish or Woo. Everyone wants to sit next to Kass in the final. No one on the jury likes Kass.

The advantage of voting out Woo - he's liked on the jury.
The advantage of voting out Trish - you separate Trish & Tony as a voting block.

Kass & Spencer pull in Woo, who's now convinced by smart, smart Kass that Tony isn't to be trusted. They decide to vote for Trish. Tony - always the cop - overhears them.  Ummm... how does no one ever look around them when they're chatting? 

Thing is... Tony could have saved Trish.  He could have given her his immunity idol.  Instead, he gave it away to Jeff, not playing it at all. He hangs onto the 'special' idol in the  hopes he can convince the others that he can still play it (he can't). Smart. Instead of saving Trish, he votes for her. Did you catch it?  Why would you vote off your #1 ally who you know you can beat in the final?

My guess? Well, Trish is a vote for Tony on the jury, so there's that. Woo - potentially - is not. If I'm Tony, I think I can maybe beat Woo at the end anyway, so it doesn't matter. Everyone knows Woo's been basically following Tony, so it would probably be easy to convince the jury that all the strategy belongs to Tony.  Trish won't actually know Tony flipped on her because all four people voted for her. And... maybe it's just so that he won't have to listen to her any more about Kass. And maybe so she'll go eat something and not die. Thoughts? 

We're down to the final four: Tony, Woo, Kass and Spencer. Two original Brawn vs. two original Brain.  I have to say, I like all of them. As much as both Kass and Tony infuriate me - they (along with Spencer) have played the BEST game of Survivor since Boston Rob... and they've done it without four tries. Kass and Tony would be horrible to play with. They are so unpredictable, but it has worked for them. Who in the history of Survivor has flipped teams and been so completely annoying and bad at challenges and has managed to go as far as Kass?  She's such an amazing observer of behaviour and relationships and so completely opposite of Tony, and yet the same as Tony in so many ways.  Kass knows how to make Tony completely unhinged. No one else can do this.

As for Tony, he's had some good luck, sure. But he's also been extremely smart and has played without emotion - in a good way. He's focused on winning and has paved his way to the end smartly, by making good alliances, by using people outside his alliance when he needs to, and by being a great talker.  Who goes outside of their alliance to vote and then comes back to the people he left out of the decision - not just once - and ends up still pals? Tony. It's crazy. And of course, having 2 idols and not having to even use them. Just letting everyone know you have it and you're not afraid to use it. Idol deterrence.

Spencer has of course been awesome in all ways and is still the player to beat.  He's likable. He's a "challenge beast" (which is crazy given how poorly his team did at the beginning, remember?). He's played amazing strategically. I mean, he's been on the bottom from day one and has managed to always come out on top again. Again, some luck, but also some great game play. Knowing when to engage people like Tony and when to shut up and listen and watch things just unfold around you.

Woo. Well, not a lot of chance of winning, but you never know. Woo hasn't played a hard strategic game, no. But let's all remember Natalie, shall we?  Remember the mute blonde that Russell Hantz took to the final? She won because yeah, Russell played the better strategy... but everyone hated Russell along the way.  If it's Tony, Kass & Woo at the end, Woo has a chance to win based on the fact that he's just more likable than the other two. He's like a happy-go-lucky family dog. And I mean that in the nicest way, honest. He's cool, and sweet and unpretentious and would be a great guy to give a million bucks to if Tony screws up his answers to the Jury. 

I'm still voting for Spence. But it's all going to depend on the next immunity challenge. If Spencer doesn't win it, there's no way any of the other three would keep him around. They all know they won't beat him in the final. Fun, right?

The grand finale is next Wednesday, don't forget. Yay!

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